Reasons to be cheerful
As we reach the end of 2009, the overriding feeling is relief that the most challenging economic year in living memory is nearly over. The overwhelming temptation is to slump into an armchair and stare blankly at the wall for a few days, before picking up where we left-off in 2010.
Everyone in the IT industry will be acutely aware that business dropped off a cliff in late 2008 and is only recently showing signs of recovery. So it comes as a surprise to hear that market researcher IDC is predicting overall growth of 1.3 percent for the global PC market in 2009 and for the percentage growth to be in double-figures for the next four years.
"An aging installed base of PCs to replace, along with government aid and declining average selling prices are key ingredients in a recipe for resurgence of PC shipments into the commercial market segment," said Richard Shim, research manager for PCs at IDC. "The combination of a recovering commercial market and a healthy consumer market will lead to double-digit shipment growth through 2013."
"Once again, the PC market shows its resiliency," added Loren Loverde, program director of IDC Worldwide Trackers. "The speed of market stabilization and growth in key segments reflect the essential role of personal computing today. Technology evolution and falling prices remain a compelling combination. As commercial spending recovers in 2010, we expect to see robust growth over the next several years."